Browsing by Author "Bolch, Tobias"

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    Annual to seasonal glacier mass balance in High Mountain Asia derived from Pléiades stereo images: examples from the Pamir and the Tibetan Plateau
    (Copernicus, 2023-12-20) Falaschi, Daniel; Bhattacharya, Atanu; Guillet, Gregoire; Huang, Lei; King, Owen; Mukherjee, Kriti; Rastner, Philipp; Yao, Tandong; Bolch, Tobias
    Glaciers are crucial sources of freshwater in particular for the arid lowlands surrounding High Mountain Asia. To better constrain glacio-hydrological models, annual, or even better, seasonal information about glacier mass changes is highly beneficial. In this study, we evaluate the suitability of very-high-resolution Pléiades digital elevation models (DEMs) to measure glacier mass balance at annual and seasonal scales in two regions of High Mountain Asia (Muztagh Ata in Eastern Pamirs and parts of western Nyainqêntanglha, south-central Tibetan Plateau), where recent estimates have shown contrasting glacier behaviour. The average annual mass balance in Muztagh Ata between 2019 and 2022 was −0.07 ± 0.20 m w.e. a−1, suggesting the continuation of a recent phase of slight mass loss following a prolonged period of balanced mass budgets previously observed. The mean annual mass balance in western Nyainqêntanglha was highly negative for the same period (−0.60 ± 0.15 m w.e. a−1), suggesting increased mass loss rates compared to the approximately previous 5 decades. The 2022 winter (+0.13 ± 0.24 m w.e.) and summer (−0.35 ± 0.15 m w.e.) mass budgets in Muztagh Ata and western Nyainqêntanglha (−0.03 ± 0.27 m w.e. in winter; −0.63 ± 0.07 m w.e. in summer) suggest winter- and summer-accumulation-type regimes, respectively. We support our findings by implementing the Sentinel-1-based Glacier Index to identify the firn and wet-snow areas on glaciers and characterize the accumulation type. The good match between the geodetic and Glacier Index results supports the potential of very-high-resolution Pléiades data to monitor mass balance at short timescales and improves our understanding of glacier accumulation regimes across High Mountain Asia.
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    Influence of climate and non-climatic attributes on declining glacier mass budget and surging in Alaknanda Basin and its surroundings
    (Elsevier, 2023-10-19) Bhattacharya, Atanu; Mukherjee, Kriti; King, Owen; Karmakar, Shubhendu; Remya, S. N.; Kulkarni, Anil V.; Kropáček, Jan; Bolch, Tobias
    Globally glaciers are rapidly shrinking, endangering the sustainability of melt water and altering the regional hydrology. Understanding long-term glacier response to climate change and the influence of non-climatic attributes like morpho-topographic factors on ice loss is of high relevance. Here we estimate the multi-temporal mass balance of 445 glaciers in the upper Alaknanda basin and neighboring transboundary glaciers using optical stereo imageries from 1973 to 2021. Our measurements indicate a mean annual area change rate of −1.14 ± 0.07 km2 a−1 and a geodetic glacier mass balance of −0.34 ± 0.08 m w.e. a−1 from 1973 to 2020, leading to an overall mass loss of 12.9 ± 1.7 Gt, that accounts for up to 0.036 ± 0.006 mm of sea level rise. Before 2000 (1973–2000), the mean regional glacier mass loss rate was −0.30 ± 0.07 m w.e. a−1, which increased to −0.43 ± 0.06 m w.e. a−1 during 2000–2020. ERA5 Land reanalysis data showed a summer and annual temperature rise of ∼0.6 °C and ∼ 0.5 °C respectively in recent time period (2015–2020) and consequent strong mass loss (−0.68 ± 0.09 m w.e. a−1). In addition to climatic influence, glacier morphometry, topographic features and uneven debris cover distribution further impacted the regional and glacier specific mass balance. Our multi-temporal observation from space also emphasized that though the glaciers in this region experienced an increasing mass loss but a strong heterogeneous glacier specific response, like surging and dynamic separation of glacier, are also evident that was not captured by the available long-term global elevation change grids. Among all the climatic and non-climatic attributes, we identified summer temperature having most significant influence over glacier mass budget in this region, with a mass balance sensitivity of −0.6 m w. e. a−1 °C−1. Hence, knowing the mean summer temperature will help to predict the mass balance for any intermediate year for this region. If such climatic trend continues, smaller glaciers are likely to disapear in coming decades. Similar studies in other parts of the world and on specific glaciers can reveal links with climate factors, reconstruct mass balance, and enhance comprehension of glacier response to climate change. Our geodetic mass balance estimates will improve the estimation of meltwater run-off component of the hydrological cycle in this part of the Himalaya, which could be used to calibrate/validate glacier mass balance models.
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    Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in the Upper Indus Basin: a horizon scanning exercise to identify the top 100 research questions in social and natural sciences
    (Wiley: American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2022-03-24) Orr, Andrew; Ahmad, Bashir; Alam, Undala; Appadurai, Arivudai Nambi; Bharucha, Zareen P.; Biemans, Hester; Bolch, Tobias; Chaulagain, Narayan P.; Dhaubanjar, Sanita; Dimri, A. P.; Dixon, Harry; Fowler, Hayley J.; Gioli, Giovanna; Halvorson, Sarah J.; Hussain, Abid; Jeelani, Ghulam; Kamal, Simi; Khalid, Imran S.; Liu, Shiyin; Lutz, Arthur; Mehra, Meeta K.; Miles, Evan; Momblanch, Andrea; et al.,
    River systems originating from the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) are dominated by runoff from snow and glacier melt and summer monsoonal rainfall. These water resources are highly stressed as huge populations of people living in this region depend on them, including for agriculture, domestic use, and energy production. Projections suggest that the UIB region will be affected by considerable (yet poorly quantified) changes to the seasonality and composition of runoff in the future, which are likely to have considerable impacts on these supplies. Given how directly and indirectly communities and ecosystems are dependent on these resources and the growing pressure on them due to ever-increasing demands, the impacts of climate change pose considerable adaptation challenges. The strong linkages between hydroclimate, cryosphere, water resources, and human activities within the UIB suggest that a multi- and inter-disciplinary research approach integrating the social and natural/environmental sciences is critical for successful adaptation to ongoing and future hydrological and climate change. Here we use a horizon scanning technique to identify the Top 100 questions related to the most pressing knowledge gaps and research priorities in social and natural sciences on climate change and water in the UIB. These questions are on the margins of current thinking and investigation and are clustered into 14 themes, covering three overarching topics of “governance, policy, and sustainable solutions”, “socioeconomic processes and livelihoods”, and “integrated Earth System processes”. Raising awareness of these cutting-edge knowledge gaps and opportunities will hopefully encourage researchers, funding bodies, practitioners, and policy makers to address them.