Browsing by Author "Butans, Eugene"
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Item Open Access Electric vehicles – effects on domestic low voltage networks(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, 2016-07-18) Zafred, Klemen; Nieto-Martin, Jesus; Butans, EugeneElectric Vehicles (EV) charging from a domestic power socket are becoming increasingly popular due to their economic and environmental benefits. The large number of such vehicles presents a significant additional load on existing low voltage (LV) power distribution networks (PDN). Evaluating this impact is essential for distribution network operators (DNO) to ensure normal functioning of the distribution grid. This research uses predictions of EV development and penetration levels to create a stochastic model of aggregate charging demand in a neighbourhood. Combined with historic distribution substations data from the Milton Keynes, UK total loads on the distribution transformers are projected. The results show significant overloading can occur with uncoordinated charging with just 25% of EVs on the road. The traditional way to solve this problem would be upgrading the transformer; however, that could be avoided by implementing coordinated charging to redistribute the load.Item Open Access Engineering resilient complex systems: the necessary shift toward complexity science(IEEE, 2020-01-01) Punzo, Giuliano; Tewari, Anurag; Butans, Eugene; Vasile, Massimiliano; Purvis, Alan; Mayfield, Martin; Varga, LizThis position article addresses resilience in complex engineering and engineered systems (CES). It offers a synthesis of academic thinking with an empirical analysis of the challenge. This article puts forward argumentations and a conceptual framework in support of a new understanding of CES resilience as the product of continuous learning in between disruptive events. CES are in continuous evolution and with each generation they become more complex as they adapt to their environment. While this evolution takes place, new failure modes arise with the engineering of their resilience having to evolve in parallel to cope with them. Our position supports the role of an overarching complexity science framework to investigate the resilience of CES, including their temporal evolution, resilience features, the management and decision layers, and the transparency of boundaries between interconnected systems. The conclusion identifies the value of a complexity perspective to address CES resilience. Extending the latest understanding of resilience, we propose a circular framework where features of CES are related to a resilience event and complexity science explains the importance of interconnections with external systems, the increasingly fast system evolution and the stratification of heterogeneous layers.Item Open Access Innovations for sustainable lifestyles – an agent based model approach(Springer, 2018-06-28) Allen, Peter; Robinson, M.; Butans, Eugene; Varga, LizAn important aspect of any scientific approach to sustainability must be methods by which the impacts of possible innovations can be assessed. Clearly, we need to make massive changes in our lifestyles if we are to get anywhere near ‘sustainability’. In this paper, an ‘agent-based model’ is developed which for this initial presentation explores probable impacts on household consumption and emissions of possible innovations. The model randomly picks a large number (here 10,000, but it can be much larger) of households from four different countries and calculates the effects resulting from the adoption of specific innovations. The ‘lifestyle’ of the households within the area studied is divided into four different ‘domains’. These are living, food, mobility and energy. Innovations are launched in the four different domains and the model shows the overall effects on the total input requirements (materials, energy, etc.), the household and food wastes and the CO2 emissions, showing how far the system moves towards sustainability. By using the sustainability criteria of 8000 kg ‘input material’ per year per individual developed by the Wuppertal Institute (Lettenmeier et al. in Resources 3:488–515, 2014, https://doi.org/10.3390/resources3030488, http://www.mdpi.com/journal/resources, ISSN 2079-9276), we can calculate how far the nation or region is from sustainability after adopting possible innovations. This is a measure of the total inputs required per individual per year. It allows us to show that for different countries, with widely different climates (e.g. Finland and Spain), different household innovations would have a greater or lesser impact on attaining ‘sustainable lifestyles’. The model does not pretend to develop a full simulation of each system, including the ecosystem, type of economy, etc., but does look at the effect an innovation in one household domain will have on all four domains, thereby providing information that can improve current decisions. It also demonstrates that, although ‘households’ can do much to improve the situation by reducing their demand for energy and materials, some actions at a national/regional level will be required to achieve sustainability. For example, sustainability will require an end to the use of fossil fuels for transportation and a switch to ‘clean’ electrical power generation from renewables and nuclear sources. Without this change, these countries will find it impossible to reach a sustainable lifestyle.Item Open Access Resilient and complex infrastructure: conjugating opposite ends of the spectrum(2017-06-14) Punzo, Giuliano; Tewari, Anurag; Butans, Eugene; Mayfield, Martin; Varga, LizItem Open Access Scaling Milton Keynes power requirements for electrical transportation(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, 2016-07-18) Nieto-Martin, Jesus; Butans, Eugene; Correa-Castillo, Pablo; Fontaine, Jerome; Gonnelle, Alexis; Lahjibi, Mohamed; Vrancken, CarlosMilton Keynes is home to the UK’s first installation of a wirelessly charged passenger bus route. This Inductive Power Transfer (IPT) system enables a fleet of 8 electric buses to service a demanding 15-mile urban route. Opportunistic wireless charging of the batteries during the layover time at the routes allows reducing the size of the batteries, consequently improving cost and performance characteristics of the bus. This paper aims to analyze the effects of electric buses on the electricity distribution grid. In particular, the paper analyses scalability of the IPT solution to all urban routes in Milton Keynes and compares peak power requirements generated at different points in the network with typical industrial and commercial (I&C) loads.Item Open Access Sustainability from household and infrastructure innovations(Springer, 2021-06-21) Allen, Peter; Butans, Eugene; Robinson, Marguerite; Varga, LizIn this paper, we look at the impact of different possible changes and innovations in the national/regional infrastructure and of individual households on the reduction of their material ‘footprint’ and carbon emissions. We have developed an ‘agent-based model’ (ABM) that explores the impact of possible changes in regional infrastructure and in ‘household agent’ behaviour and lifestyles. We study households of the UK, Germany, Spain and Finland, and calculate the overall effects of the diffusion of such changes and innovations. The ‘lifestyle’ of households is divided into four different ‘Domains’—Living, Food, Mobility and Energy. For each change, the model shows the linked effects of adoption, and total household input requirements (materials, energy etc.), household and food wastes and CO2 emissions. This informs policy concerning which modifications will be most effective. We can also estimate approximately how much ‘clean’ electricity will be needed in each country for household needs and their electric vehicles