Browsing by Author "Forster, Grant L."

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • Thumbnail Image
    ItemOpen Access
    A growing threat to the ozone layer from short-lived anthropogenic chlorocarbons
    (European Geosciences Union (EGU) / Copernicus Publications, 2017-10-12) Oram, David E.; Ashfold, Matthew J.; Laube, Johannes C.; Gooch, Lauren J.; Humphrey, Stephen; Sturges, William T.; Leedham-Elvidge, Emma; Forster, Grant L.; Harris, Neil; Iqbal Mead, Mohammed; Samah, Azizan Abu; Phang, Siew-Moi; Ou-Yang, Chang-Feng; Lin, Neng-Huei; Wang, Jia-Lin; Baker, Angela K.; Brenninkmeijer, Carl A. M.; Sherry, David
    Large and effective reductions in emissions of long-lived ozone-depleting substance (ODS) are being achieved through the Montreal Protocol, the effectiveness of which can be seen in the declining atmospheric abundances of many ODSs. An important remaining uncertainty concerns the role of very short-lived substances (VSLSs) which, owing to their relatively short atmospheric lifetimes (less than 6 months), are not regulated under the Montreal Protocol. Recent studies have found an unexplained increase in the global tropospheric abundance of one VSLS, dichloromethane (CH2Cl2), which has increased by around 60% over the past decade. Here we report dramatic enhancements of several chlorine-containing VSLSs (Cl-VSLSs), including CH2Cl2 and CH2ClCH2Cl (1,2-dichloroethane), observed in surface and upper-tropospheric air in East and South East Asia. Surface observations were, on occasion, an order of magnitude higher than previously reported in the marine boundary layer, whilst upper-tropospheric data were up to 3 times higher than expected. In addition, we pro-vide further evidence of an atmospheric transport mechanism whereby substantial amounts of industrial pollution from East Asia, including these chlorinated VSLSs, can rapidly, and regularly, be transported to tropical regions of the western Pacific and subsequently uplifted to the tropical upper troposphere. This latter region is a major provider of air entering the stratosphere, and so this mechanism, in conjunction with increasing emissions of Cl-VSLSs from East Asia, could potentially slow the expected recovery of stratospheric ozone.
  • Thumbnail Image
    ItemOpen Access
    Measuring methane emissions from oil and gas platforms in the North Sea
    (European Geosciences Union (EGU) / Copernicus Publications, 2019-08-02) Riddick, Stuart N.; Mauzerall, Denise L.; Celia, Michael; Harris, Neil; Allen, Grant; Pitt, Joseph; Staunton-Sykes, John; Forster, Grant L.; Kang, Mary; Lowry, David; Nisbet, Euan; Manning, Alistair J.
    Since 1850 the concentration of atmospheric methane (CH4), a potent greenhouse gas, has more than doubled. Recent studies suggest that emission inventories may be missing sources and underestimating emissions. To investigate whether offshore oil and gas platforms leak CH4 during normal operation, we measured CH4 mole fractions around eight oil and gas production platforms in the North Sea which were neither flaring gas nor offloading oil. We use the measurements from summer 2017, along with meteorological data, in a Gaussian plume model to estimate CH4 emissions from each platform. We find CH4 mole fractions of between 11 and 370 ppb above background concentrations downwind of the platforms measured, corresponding to a median CH4 emission of 6.8 g CH4 s−1 for each platform, with a range of 2.9 to 22.3 g CH4 s−1. When matched to production records, during our measurements individual platforms lost between 0.04 % and 1.4 % of gas produced with a median loss of 0.23 %. When the measured platforms are considered collectively (i.e. the sum of platforms' emission fluxes weighted by the sum of the platforms' production), we estimate the CH4 loss to be 0.19 % of gas production. These estimates are substantially higher than the emissions most recently reported to the National Atmospheric Emission Inventory (NAEI) for total CH4 loss from United Kingdom platforms in the North Sea. The NAEI reports CH4 losses from the offshore oil and gas platforms we measured to be 0.13 % of gas production, with most of their emissions coming from gas flaring and offshore oil loading, neither of which was taking place at the time of our measurements. All oil and gas platforms we observed were found to leak CH4 during normal operation, and much of this leakage has not been included in UK emission inventories. Further research is required to accurately determine total CH4 leakage from all offshore oil and gas operations and to properly include the leakage in national and international emission inventories.