Integrating causal analysis based on system theory with network modelling to enhance accident analysis

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dc.contributor.authorKaya, Gulsum Kubra
dc.contributor.authorHumphreys, Mark
dc.contributor.authorCamelia, Fanny
dc.contributor.authorChatzimichailidou, Mikela
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-07T10:02:17Z
dc.date.available2025-07-07T10:02:17Z
dc.date.freetoread2025-07-07
dc.date.issued2025-12-31
dc.date.pubOnline2025-06-17
dc.description.abstractThis study integrates Causal Analysis based on System Theory (CAST) with network modelling to enhance accident analysis in aviation ground handling. Using 117 Passenger Boarding Steps (PBS)-related incident reports, the CAST analysis identified 74 flaws across 40 control actions, leading to four loss types. Approaching, inspecting, adjusting, and repositioning PBS were the most critical control actions contributing to incidents. Key contributory factors included issues around training, workload management, situational awareness, performance management, recruitment, organisational culture, procedures, equipment maintenance, and financial constraints. The integration of network modelling into CAST enhanced accident analysis by visualising complex interactions, offering deeper insights into accident causation and identifying critical nodes. This study demonstrates that combining CAST with network modelling enhances the understanding of accidents and safety risks, supporting evidence-based decision-making for aviation safety professionals and improving ground handling risk management strategies. Practitioner Summary: This study integrates CAST with network modelling to enhance accident analysis in aviation ground handling. Analysing 117 passenger boarding steps incidents, the study identifies critical control actions and contributory factors. Network modelling enhances CAST by revealing complex interactions, providing deeper insights into incidents, and supporting improved risk management strategies.
dc.description.journalNameErgonomics
dc.identifier.citationKaya GK, Humphreys M, Camelia F, Chatzimichailidou M. (2025) Integrating causal analysis based on system theory with network modelling to enhance accident analysis. Ergonomics, Available online 17 June 2025en_UK
dc.identifier.eissn1366-5847
dc.identifier.elementsID673751
dc.identifier.issn0014-0139
dc.identifier.issueNoahead-of-print
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1080/00140139.2025.2516060
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/24142
dc.identifier.volumeNoahead-of-print
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTaylor & Francis en_UK
dc.publisher.urihttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00140139.2025.2516060
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectAccident analysis en_UK
dc.subjectnetwork modelling en_UK
dc.subjectCAST en_UK
dc.subjectground handling en_UK
dc.subjectsystems approach en_UK
dc.subject5201 Applied and Developmental Psychology en_UK
dc.subject4201 Allied Health and Rehabilitation Science en_UK
dc.subject42 Health Sciences en_UK
dc.subject4207 Sports Science and Exercise en_UK
dc.subject52 Psychology en_UK
dc.subject3 Good Health and Well Being en_UK
dc.subjectHuman Factors en_UK
dc.titleIntegrating causal analysis based on system theory with network modelling to enhance accident analysis en_UK
dc.typeArticle
dc.type.subtypeJournal Article
dcterms.dateAccepted2025-05-26

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